Crash multiplier probability table

By · Last updated 31 October 2026

Use this table to see how often any target lands. The chance that a crash round reaches multiplier x is the RTP divided by x. At 97% RTP, 2x lands 48.5% of the time and 100x lands 0.97% of the time. It assumes the standard crash distribution used by most crash games (see How Crash Games Work).

For South African players: examples on this page are in rand. A R50 stake at 2x returns R100, and the win chances are the same at every casino running the game.

Full table

Target 97% RTP 1 in 99% RTP 1 in
1.10x 88.18% 1.13 90.00% 1.11
1.20x 80.83% 1.24 82.50% 1.21
1.50x 64.67% 1.55 66.00% 1.52
2x 48.50% 2.06 49.50% 2.02
3x 32.33% 3.09 33.00% 3.03
5x 19.40% 5.15 19.80% 5.05
10x 9.70% 10.3 9.90% 10.1
20x 4.85% 20.6 4.95% 20.2
50x 1.94% 51.5 1.98% 50.5
100x 0.970% 103 0.990% 101
500x 0.194% 515 0.198% 505
1,000x 0.097% 1,031 0.099% 1,010

Dry spells

The chance of no hit at target x across N rounds is (1 − p)^N:

Target (97%) None in 50 rounds None in 100 None in 300
10x 0.6% 0.004% ≈0%
50x 37.5% 14.1% 0.3%
100x 61.4% 37.7% 5.4%

Use the calculator below for any other target, or read Chasing High Multipliers.

Every row has its own strategy guide: the Aviator 1.2x strategy, Aviator 2x strategy, Aviator 5x strategy and Aviator 10x strategy. To see how real streaks fit the table, read reading Aviator round history.

Auto cash out win chance calculator

Win chance
48,5%
Long-run return per R 50,00 bet
-R 1,50
Win rate needed to break even
50,0%

Common targets (3,0%)

TargetWin chanceAbout 1 inLong-run return per R 50,00 bet
1,20x80,8%1,24-R 1,50
1,50x64,7%1,55-R 1,50
2,00x48,5%2,06-R 1,50
3,00x32,3%3,09-R 1,50
5,00x19,4%5,15-R 1,50
10,00x9,70%10-R 1,50
100x0,97%103-R 1,50
Partner offer Stake: Crypto casino & sports betting

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of hitting 2x in a crash game?

About 48.5% at 97% RTP and 49.5% at 99% RTP.

What are the odds of 1,000x?

About 0.097% per round at 97% RTP, roughly 1 in 1,031.

Crash game tips in your inbox

New releases, strategy breakdowns and odds explainers. No spam.

Daniel Foster

By · Crash Game Maths & Mechanics Analyst

Daniel focuses on the mathematics and mechanics behind crash games. His reviews examine RTP disclosures, volatility, multipliers, game mechanics and the mathematical principles behind different crash titles.

Published · Updated

Comments

No comments yet. Start the conversation.

We may earn a commission when you sign up through links on this page. It never affects our ratings. How we make money