Can you beat the odds?

10 questions on real crash odds from our 10-million-round study: hit chances, Martingale busts, streak myths. Score 9+ to become an Odds Master.

Can you beat the odds?

Ten questions on the real numbers behind crash games. No guessing allowed (well, a little).

⏱ 2 minutes · 10 questions

Score 9 or 10 to earn the 🏆 Odds Master badge.

Start quiz

How it works

Every answer comes from our 10-million-round crash simulation. Here are all ten questions with the answers.

  1. At 97% RTP, how often does a crash round reach 2x?
    48,5%: About 48,5% of rounds: RTP ÷ target = 0.97 ÷ 2.
  2. How often does a round reach 10x?
    9,7%: About 9,7% of rounds in our test: 0.97 ÷ 10.
  3. And how often does it reach 100x?
    0,97%: Only 0,97% of rounds: roughly one in a hundred.
  4. How many Martingale sessions (2x, 100-bet bankroll, 1,000 rounds) went bust?
    87,8%: 87,8% ran out of money: doubling after losses wins often but the streaks catch up.
  5. What share of rounds crash below 1.5x?
    35,3%: 35,3% of rounds: about one in three never reaches 1.5x.
  6. After 5 low rounds in a row, is a big one due?
    No, the next round doesn't care: After 5 rounds under 2x, the next one still reached 2x 48,4% of the time, the same as any round (48,5%).
  7. What's the house edge on a 97% RTP crash game?
    3,0%: 3,0%: 100% minus the 97% RTP.
  8. Betting Rp 20.000 a round, what do you lose on average over 100 rounds?
    Rp 60.000: About Rp 60.000: 3% of the Rp 2.000.000 you staked.
  9. Starting with Rp 2.000.000, what was the median result after 1,000 rounds of Paroli?
    Rp 960.000: Rp 960.000: Paroli caps losses per bet, but the edge still wears the bankroll down.
  10. Cashing out at 2x, what was the longest losing streak we saw?
    24 rounds: 24 losses in a row: plan your bankroll for streaks like that.

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Where do the answers come from?

Every answer comes from our 10-million-round crash simulation with a 3% house edge, published with its code and data.

Can you predict a crash game?

No. Each round is independent: a run of low rounds doesn't make a big one more likely.

What's a good score?

7 or more makes you a Numbers Pro; 9 or 10 earns Odds Master.

Do you store my answers?

No. No sign-up, nothing personal saved. We only count anonymous quiz events.