D'Alembert and Fibonacci in crash games
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Want progression without the steep climb of Martingale? D’Alembert adds one unit after a loss, and the Fibonacci strategy in a crash game follows 1, 1, 2, 3, 5: both recover losses at a gentler pace. They’re built for even-money bets, so in crash games you pair them with a 2x auto cash out. See where they sit among the other strategies in our crash game strategy pillar.
D’Alembert
- Start at 1 unit.
- After a loss, add 1 unit. After a win, subtract 1 unit (minimum 1).
The idea is that wins and losses roughly balance, and each win is worth one unit more than the loss before it. At 2x you win just under half the time, so over long sessions the bet tends to drift up a little: set a cap on the unit count and you’re set.
Example ($10 units): L, L, W, L, W, W gives bets of 10, 20, 30, 20, 30, 20, which means −10, −20, +30, −20, +30, +20 = +$30. A run of eight losses pushes the bet to $90 and $360 down, which is why a stop loss belongs in every progression plan.
Fibonacci
- Bet sizes follow 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89 units.
- After a loss, move one step forward. After a win, move two steps back.
| Losses in a row | Martingale bet | Fibonacci bet |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | 32 units | 8 units |
| 8 | 256 units | 34 units |
| 10 | 1,024 units | 89 units |
Fibonacci escalates far more slowly, so busts are rarer. Recovery is also slower: one win doesn’t clear a losing run.
The bottom line
Both run at the game’s 97% RTP, like every strategy. What they change is the ride: instead of Martingale’s rare big drop, you get a smoother, steadier climb back after a losing run. If you want to see a progression’s behavior, the closest model in our simulator is Martingale. Compare it with flat fixed auto cash out betting.
Strategy simulator
- Median final bankroll
- Unlucky (10th percentile)
- Lucky (90th percentile)
- Chance of going bust
- Median max drawdown
- Average rounds played
Example: 1000 sessions of 100 rounds, bankroll $500, base bet $10, target 2x, 3% edge
| Strategy | Median final bankroll | Unlucky (10th percentile) | Lucky (90th percentile) | Chance of going bust |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Alembert | $310 | $0 | $1,010 | 44.9% |
| Fixed bet | $480 | $360 | $600 | 0.0% |
Run it a few times with different settings to find the approach that fits your bankroll and playing style.
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Frequently asked questions
Is Fibonacci safer than Martingale?
Its bets grow more slowly, so a losing streak takes longer to become huge. Ten losses in a row take Fibonacci to 89 units and Martingale to 1,024. That makes it far easier on your bankroll.
Do these systems work at 2x?
They're designed for even-money bets, which 2x approximates. At 97% RTP you win 48.5% at 2x. Wins and losses are almost balanced, which is exactly why these strategies feel so smooth.
By Daniel Foster · Crash Game Maths & Mechanics Analyst
Daniel focuses on the mathematics and mechanics behind crash games. His reviews examine RTP disclosures, volatility, multipliers, game mechanics and the mathematical principles behind different crash titles.
Fact-checked by Alex Morgan
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