Martingale vs Fixed Auto Cash Out: Which Crash Strategy Wins? (10M-Round Test)
By Daniel Foster · ✓ Fact-checked by Alex Morgan · Last updated November 2, 2026
Verdict: Fixed Auto Cash Out wins. In our 10-million-round test it went bust in 2.2% of sessions vs 87.8% for Martingale, and finished in profit 16.1% of the time vs 12.0%. Median bankroll after 1,000 rounds: $700 vs $0 (from $1,000).
Part of our How to Win at Crash Games: 12 Crash Gambling Strategies That Actually Work (2026). Full guides: Martingale and Fixed Auto Cash Out. Every number below comes from the same simulation: 10,000 sessions of 1,000 rounds, a $1,000 bankroll and $10 base bet, 97% RTP.
Martingale vs Fixed Auto Cash Out: the numbers
| Metric | Martingale | Fixed Auto Cash Out |
|---|---|---|
| Went bust | 87.8% | 2.2% |
| Median final bankroll | $0 | $700 |
| Worst 10% / best 10% | $0 / $4,100 | $280 / $1,100 |
| Sessions in profit | 12.0% | 16.1% |
| Hit rate (rounds won) | 48.5% | 48.5% |
| Average session length (rounds) | 326 | 997 |
| Median max drawdown | $1,570 | $510 |
| Biggest single-round return | $2,560 | $10 |
How the bankroll moves
How Martingale works
Martingale doubles your bet after every loss at a 2x cash out, so one win wins back everything lost in the streak plus one base bet.
Example: a $10 bet loses, then $20 loses, then $40 wins at 2x and returns $80: you're up $10 after the streak.
How Fixed Auto Cash Out works
The same bet every round with auto cash out at 2x: no progression, no chasing.
Example: a $10 bet cashed at 2x returns $20: 48.5% of rounds reach it.
Which one should you pick?
- Pick Martingale if you want a high win rate in short sessions and accept that a long losing streak can wipe the bankroll.
- Pick Fixed Auto Cash Out if you want flat, predictable betting with no chasing.
Try both in the simulator
Run the exact study settings yourself, in your currency, and change anything you like.
Try MartingaleTry Fixed Auto Cash Out
Test them on these crash games
Frequently asked questions
Which is better, Martingale or Fixed Auto Cash Out?
In our 10M-round test, Fixed Auto Cash Out went bust less often (2.2% vs 87.8%). Neither changes the 97% RTP.
How often does Martingale go bust?
87.8% of 1,000-round sessions ran out of money with a 100-bet bankroll.
How often does Fixed Auto Cash Out go bust?
2.2% of 1,000-round sessions ran out of money with a 100-bet bankroll.
Which wins more rounds?
Martingale won 48.5% of rounds and Fixed Auto Cash Out won 48.5%. Win rate isn't profit: the size of each win matters too.
Can Martingale or Fixed Auto Cash Out beat the house edge?
No. Both play the same 97% RTP game; they only change how your bankroll swings.
Which is better for a small budget?
The one with the lower bust rate: Fixed Auto Cash Out, at 2.2% in our test. Set a stop-loss either way.
Sources
- Crash Game Guide: 10-million-round crash simulation study (checked November 2, 2026)
- Study results (CSV, CC BY 4.0) (checked November 2, 2026)
Crash Game Maths & Mechanics Analyst
Daniel focuses on the mathematics and mechanics behind crash games. His reviews examine RTP disclosures, volatility, multipliers, game mechanics and the mathematical principles behind different crash titles.
✓ Fact-checked by Alex Morgan (Casino & Crash Game Reviewer)
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